Anyone making Week 15 NFL bets could focus on games with large Week 15 NFL spreads, but there is just one double-digit favorite. Jets vs. Dolphins has Miami as an 8.5-point favorite in the Week 15 NFL odds, but that game opened with Miami favored by 10.5. The Dolphins losing in historic fashion last Monday and the Jets winning last week undoubtedly played a role in the line shift, so the one remaining game with a double-digit spread is 49ers vs. Cardinals (+12.5).
Do last week’s results with Miami and New York make you more likely to back the Jets with your NFL parlay picks even though the line is shrinking? As for Cardinals vs. 49ers, both teams have six against-the-spread losses this year, so is that a game to include in Week 15 NFL ATS picks? Before you make any Week 15 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 15 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 176-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 30-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has locked in five confident NFL best bets for Week 15. If you successfully parlay its picks, you’d be looking at a massive payout of around 25-1. You can only see the model’s Week 15 NFL picks at SportsLine.
Top Week 15 NFL picks
After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the Los Angeles Rams (-6.5) to cover against the Washington Commanders. Washington has the league’s worst turnover differential (minus-10), has allowed the most points in the league, and has allowed the most yards in the NFL. The team seems to be getting worse as the season progresses since the 150 points the Commanders have allowed over their last four games are their most given up in a four-game span in nearly 70 years.
Washington’s defensive decline coincides with the Rams on the rise, as they scored a combined 67 points over the last two weeks against the Browns and Ravens, who rank first and second, respectively, in total defense. Los Angeles also has the ATS trends in its favor since it has covered in three straight, while Washington is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games following a bye week. With the Commanders also 0-3 against the spread over their last three games of the 2023 season, the model has Los Angeles covering as 6.5-point favorites almost 60% of the time. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here.
How to make Week 15 NFL parlays
The model also jumped on four other NFL matchups where it says the line is way off, including two underdogs that cover with plenty of room to spare. You can only see the model’s NFL Week 15 best bets and parlay at SportsLine.
What are the model’s top Week 15 NFL picks? And which other NFL matchups should you target for a strong 25-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see the Week 15 NFL best bets from a model on a 176-129 run on top-rated picks, and find out.
