Teams trending in opposite directions clash when the Phoenix Suns face the Dallas Mavericks in an NBA Western Conference matchup in Dallas on Wednesday. The Suns (25-18), winners of six straight, are 11-7 on the road and 16-14 within the conference in 2023-24. The Mavericks (24-19), who are 5-5 in their last 10 after dropping two in a row, are 13-10 on their home court. Dallas, who defeated Phoenix 128-114 in the first meeting, is 18-15 against Western Conference foes.
The game from American Airlines Center will tip off at 8:30 p.m. ET. Phoenix is averaging 116.1 points per game, while Dallas averages 118.3. Phoenix is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Suns vs. Mavericks odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 241. Before making any Mavericks vs. Suns picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 48-25 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning over $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Suns vs. Mavericks and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Mavericks vs. Suns:
- Suns vs. Mavericks spread: Phoenix -2.5
- Suns vs. Mavericks over/under: 241 points
- Suns vs. Mavericks money line: Phoenix -142, Dallas +121
- PHO: The Suns have hit the third-quarter game total over in 55 of their last 81 games (+26.70 units)
- DAL: The Mavericks have hit the team total over in 44 of their last 72 games (+11.65 units)
- Suns vs. Mavericks picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Mavericks can cover
Despite Kyrie Irving’s status in question due to a thumb injury, Dallas still features a potent offense. Among those averaging double-digit scoring is veteran forward Tim Hardaway Jr., who has started eight of 40 games he has played. In 29.7 minutes of action per game, he is averaging 18.2 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.7 assists. He is connecting on 42.2% of his field goals, including 36.6% from 3-point range, and 87.7% from the foul line.
Point guard Luka Doncic (questionable; back) is the team’s main go-to scorer, averaging 33.6 points, 9.3 assists, 8.5 rebounds and 1.4 steals. Doncic, who has registered back-to-back triple-doubles, sits ninth all-time on the NBA’s all-time triple-doubles list with 64. In 36 games played, he has registered 22 double-doubles and eight triple-doubles on the season. He has scored 30 or more points 28 times, including 33 points in losses to the Los Angeles Lakers on Jan. 17 and the Boston Celtics on Monday. See which team to pick here.
Why the Suns can cover
Kevin Durant has been on fire of late. He scored 40 points and grabbed nine rebounds in a 117-110 win over the Pacers on Sunday, and followed that up with a 43-point, eight-assist and six-rebound performance in the win over Chicago on Monday. He has six double-doubles and one triple-double on the year. In 36 games, all starts, Durant is averaging 29.6 points, 6.3 rebounds, 5.6 assists and 1.2 blocks in 37.1 minutes of play.
Devin Booker has provided a lot of offense over the past 10 games, averaging 27.4 points and 7.0 assists in that span. He scored 52 points in a 123-109 win at New Orleans on Jan. 19, and added a double-double with 16 points and 11 assists in a 119-117 win over the Kings on Jan. 16. He scored 26 points in Sunday’s win over Indiana, and followed that up with 16 against Chicago on Monday. For the season, he is averaging 26.7 points, 7.6 assists, 4.8 rebounds and 36.1 minutes in 36 games, all starts. See which team to pick here.
How to make Mavericks vs. Suns picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 239 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the model’s NBA picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Suns vs. Mavericks, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 48-25 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
