Bills vs. Ravens odds, line, spread: NFL picks, 2021 Divisional Round predictions by top model on 120-78 roll

The Buffalo Bills won their final six games of the season before getting past Indianapolis during Super Wild Card Weekend. The Baltimore Ravens ended the season with five consecutive victories and kept rolling by defeating Tennessee last Sunday. One of the winning streaks will come to an end on Saturday when the Bills host the Ravens (12-5) in an AFC Divisional Round matchup. Including its 27-24 win over the Colts, Buffalo (14-3) has won 10 of its last 11 contests, with the only loss coming in Week 10 at Arizona on a Hail Mary with two seconds remaining.

Kickoff is at 8:15 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists Buffalo as a 2.5-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 49.5 in the latest Bills vs. Ravens odds. Before making any Ravens vs. Bills picks, see the latest NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning well over $800. The model also enters the Divisional Round of the 2021 NFL Playoffs on an incredible 120-78 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Bills vs. Ravens. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are the latest NFL odds and trends for Ravens vs. Bills:

  • Ravens vs. Bills spread: Bills -2.5
  • Ravens vs. Bills over-under: 49.5 points
  • Ravens vs. Bills money line: Bills -145, Ravens +125
  • BAL: Ravens are 11-6 against the spread this season
  • BUF: Over has hit in 11 Bills games

Latest Odds:

Buffalo Bills

Why the Ravens can cover

Baltimore ranked last in the NFL in passing offense (171.2 yards) during the regular season but led the league in rushing (191.9). Three different players surpassed the 700-yard mark, with Lamar Jackson leading the way with 1,005. The 2019 NFL MVP, who gained 1,206 yards on the ground last season, is the first quarterback in league history to rush for 1,000 yards in multiple seasons. 

Rookie J.K. Dobbins was second on the club in rushing with 805 yards, while Gus Edwards set a career-high with 723 as the Ravens finished with a league-leading 3,071 to become the first team in NFL history to register at least 3,000 in consecutive seasons.

Jackson gained 136 of the 236 rushing yards amassed in last week’s win over Tennessee, giving Baltimore 889 over its last three contests. The 24-year-old from the University of Louisville recorded 48 of his yards on a touchdown run, the second-longest by a quarterback in the playoffs during the Super Bowl era.

Why the Bills can cover

Buffalo improved over the course of the full season, and the team’s numbers were impressive on both sides of the ball. Offensively, the Bills were No. 2 in the league in yardage (396.4 yards per game) and scoring (31.3 points per game). Buffalo also finished third in pass offense, generating 288.8 yards per game.

The Bills excelled at keeping drives alive by converting a league-leading 49.7 percent of their third downs.

Defensively, the Bills were above-average in both total defense (352.8 yards allowed per game) and passing defense (232.9). Buffalo was opportunistic, generating 15 interceptions, and the Bills were able to limit opponents to just a 39.8 percent conversion rate on third down.

How to make Bills vs. Ravens picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with the simulations showing the teams combining for 49 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see which side to back here.

So who wins Ravens vs. Bills in the 2021 NFL Playoffs? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Ravens vs. Bills spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model on a 120-78 roll, and find out.

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