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Buccaneers vs. Eagles odds, spread: Thursday Night Football picks, predictions by NFL model on 125-83 roll

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-1) and Philadelphia Eagles (2-3) will duel it out in a primetime matchup on Thursday Night Football. Tampa Bay dropped its Week 3 matchup against the Los Angeles Rams but bounced back the past two weeks. The Buccaneers have beaten the New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins, with hopes of extending their win streak to three. Philadelphia opened the season with a victory on the road against the Atlanta Falcons before dropping three straight. The Eagles got back on track with another road win against the Carolina Panthers last Sunday.

Kickoff from Lincoln Financial Field is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Tampa Bay is a seven-point favorite in the latest Buccaneers vs. Eagles odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is 52.5. Before locking in any Buccaneers vs. Eagles picks, make sure you check out the NFL predictions and analysis from the proven SportsLine Projection Model

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 6 of the 2021 season on an incredible 125-83 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Buccaneers vs. Eagles 10,000 times and just revealed its NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Eagles vs. Buccaneers:

  • Buccaneers vs. Eagles spread: Tampa Bay -7 
  • Buccaneers vs. Eagles over-under: 52.5 points 
  • Buccaneers vs. Eagles money line: Tampa Bay -320, Philadelphia +250 
  • TB: Over is 6-1 in Buccaneers’ last seven games as favorites  
  • PHI: Eagles are 4-0 against the spread in their last four home games  

Featured Game | Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Why the Buccaneers can cover

Tampa Bay comes into this matchup with the No. 1 rush defense. The Buccaneers allow a league-low 45.8 rushing yards per game and just 2.9 yards per rush. Miami only rushed for 39 yards against Tampa Bay, while New England finished the game with negative rushing yards. The Eagles average 116.4 rushing yards per game and quarterback Jalen Hurts has the athleticism to make defenders miss in the open field.

Hurts is the Eagles’ leading rusher with 256 yards on 40 carries. He also averages a team-high 51.2 rushing yards per game with 6.0 yards per rush. The Buccaneers’ front seven, including Shaquil Barrett, Jason Pierre-Paul, Vita Vea, and Devin White, will look to stuff the run. Defensive coordinator Todd Bowles likes to send pressure, so look for Tampa Bay to heat up Hurts and the Eagles’ offense. 

Why Eagles can cover 

Jalen Hurts and the Eagles rolled into Bank of America Stadium last Sunday and beat the Carolina Panthers in Week 5. Philadelphia’s defense came to play on Sunday and caused havoc for Sam Darnold. The Eagles snagged three interceptions on the day and held Darnold to 177 passing yards. The Eagles’ offense struggled in the first half, but found its groove after the break. 

Hurts connected with receiver Quez Watkins for a 53-yard gain to put Philadelphia in the red zone. Hurts then forced his way into the end zone for a rushing touchdown. The 2020 second-round pick rushed for two scores and led the Eagles to 15 second-half points. Philadelphia showed its grit and desire in its comeback victory against Carolina and will carry that momentum on a short week against the Bucs.

How to make Buccaneers vs. Eagles picks 

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 50 points. It also says one side of the Eagles vs. Buccaneers spread has all the value. You can only see the model’s Buccaneers vs. Eagles picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Buccaneers vs. Eagles on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Buccaneers vs. Eagles spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $7,900 on its NFL picks, and find out.

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