Fantasy Baseball Rankings 2020: Busts from top-rated model that nailed Chris Archer’s disappointing season

Fantasy baseball injuries are unavoidable over the course of a six-month season, but it’s especially tricky to navigate early-season injuries. Spring Training has been particularly damaging to starting pitching depth, with Luis Severino, James Paxton and Mike Clevinger all undergoing preseason surgery. Meanwhile, the Astros found out that Justin Verlander suffered a lat strain, but where should each player be in your 2020 Fantasy baseball rankings?

So how will preseason injuries impact your 2020 Fantasy baseball picks? And is Justin Verlander one of the 2020 Fantasy baseball busts with a finicky lat injury that has a tendency to linger? Before going on the clock, be sure to check out the 2020 Fantasy baseball cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last season, SportsLine’s Projection Model identified several top Fantasy baseball busts, including Pittsburgh Pirates starting pitcher Chris Archer. The 30-year-old was drafted in the 10th round on average in CBS Sports Fantasy baseball leagues in 2019, but wound up struggling mightily. Archer went 3-9 with a 5.19 ERA and gave up a career-high 1.9 home runs per nine innings to finish outside the top 100 starting pitchers.

The team at SportsLine was all over Archer as one of its Fantasy baseball busts from the start. Their model had him listed much lower than expert consensus rankings, and anyone who listened to their advice dodged a major bullet.

Their model is powered by the same people who powered projections for all three major Fantasy sites. And that same group is sharing its 2020 Fantasy Baseball rankings and cheat sheets over at SportsLine, helping you find Fantasy Baseball breakouts, busts and sleepers long before your competition. Their cheat sheets, available for leagues on many major sites, are updated multiple times every day. Any time an injury occurs or there’s a change on a depth chart, the team at SportsLine updates its Fantasy baseball cheat sheets.

When it came to ranking players in Fantasy football, SportsLine’s Projection Model beat human experts last season when there were big differences in ranking. And the model was the closest to the hole overall, meaning it best pinpointed where every player would finish each week. That could literally be the difference between winning your league or going home empty-handed.

Top 2020 Fantasy baseball busts

One of the 2020 Fantasy baseball busts the model is fading: Braves second baseman Ozzie Albies. The 23-year-old posted career-highs in batting average (.295), RBIs (86) and stolen bases (19) last season and tied his career-high in home runs (24), but those numbers were inflated a touch by a .325 BABIP that is 18 points higher than his career average. 

Albies has also had issues hitting breaking balls (.418 slugging percentage), while his chase rate has risen in each year he’s been in the Major Leagues. And with developing power, he’s a candidate to strike out more frequently given those numbers. That’s part of the reason why the model lists him as the No. 8 second baseman in its Fantasy baseball rankings 2020 despite the fact that he’s been the third player at the position off the board on average.

Another bust that SportsLine’s Fantasy baseball rankings 2020 are wary of: Yankees starting pitcher Domingo German. The 27-year-old had 18 wins in 2019. And while he also struck out 153 batters in 143 innings, his peripherals make it clear that German was playing above his talent level last season. 

He posted a 4.03 ERA, but his FIP was 4.72. A .259 BABIP means he’s due for significantly worse batted-ball luck in 2020. German ranks in the bottom 20 percent of MLB pitchers in average exit velocity against and gave up 1.89 home runs per nine innings last season. With more batters likely getting on base, the model ranks the 18th round pick behind dozens of starters going in the 20th round or later.

How to find proven 2020 Fantasy baseball rankings

SportsLine is also fading one of the top 10 catchers off the board, saying he doesn’t even crack the top 20. This pick could be the difference in winning your league or going home with nothing. 

So which 2020 Fantasy baseball busts should you snatch in your draft? And which catcher should you avoid at all costs? Visit SportsLine now to get Fantasy Baseball rankings for every single position, all from the model that called Chris Archer’s huge flop last season, and find out.

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