Florida vs. Tennessee odds, line: 2021 college football picks, Week 4 predictions from model on 72-58 run

The Florida Gators take on the Tennessee Volunteers on Saturday night as SEC East rivals clash. Tennessee has scored at least 34 points in all three contests thus far. No. 11 Florida started its campaign off with two comfortable victories before falling short to No. 1 Alabama 31-29. The Gators failed to convert a 2-point conversation late in the fourth quarter, but they easily stayed within the 14-point spread.

Kickoff from Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, better know as The Swamp, is set for 7 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Gators as 19-point favorites in the latest Florida vs. Tennessee odds. The over-under has climbed to 64.5 after opening at 60.5. Before locking in any Tennessee vs. Florida picks, make sure you see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 4 of the 2021 season on a 72-58 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Florida vs. Tennessee. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for Tennessee vs. Florida:

  • Tennessee vs. Florida spread: Florida -19
  • Tennessee vs. Florida over-under: 64.5 points
  • Tennessee vs. Florida money line: Tennessee +700, Florida -1100
  • TENN: Under is 6-1 in Volunteers last seven conference games
  • FLA: Gators are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight-up loss

Featured Game | Florida Gators vs. Tennessee Volunteers

Why Tennessee can cover

Tennessee’s offense plays with an extremely fast tempo and has been able to move the ball well through the first three weeks of the season. The Volunteers average 42.6 points a game while averaging 422 total yards of offense. Tennessee’s rushing attack is a staple for this offense, averaging 223 rushing yards a game.

The Vols have multiple players who have rushed over 100 yards on the year. Junior running back Tiyon Evans is the leading rusher on this team with 161 yards on 31 carries. Sophomore Jabari Small is second on the team in yards with 135, averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Tennessee is playing it closes to the vest at quarterback as Hendon Hooker and Joe Milton III, both transfers who joined the team in the offseason, could get the starting nod. 

Why Florida can cover

The Gators have two dynamic quarterbacks on the team and they plan to play both. Redshirt freshman Anthony Richardson missed last week’s game due to a hamstring injury, but head coach Dan Mullen is confident he will suit up on game day. The electrifying freshman put on a show against South Florida. He was 3-of-3 passing for 152 yards with two scores. He added 115 yards on the ground with a touchdown.

Richardson is the Gators’ leading rusher with 275 yards despite only having 11 carries on the year. Florida’s starter is Emory Jones, who had 271 total yards against No. 1 Alabama. Jones has completed 63 percent of his passes for 459 yards and averages 230 total yards a game.

How to make Tennessee vs. Florida picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 53 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Florida vs. Tennessee? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.  

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