Fresno State vs. UNLV odds, line, spread: College football picks, Week 3 predictions from model on 72-58 run

UNLV goes on the road to play No. 22 Fresno State Friday night on CBS Sports Network. The Rebels are coming off a blowout loss to No. 14 Iowa State, dropping their overall record to 0-3 on the year. The Bulldogs, on the other hand, just had the biggest win of their early season, upsetting No. 24 UCLA on the road 40-37. 

Kickoff from Bulldog Stadium is set for 10 p.m. ET. The Bulldogs are favored by 30.5 points in the latest Fresno State vs. UNLV odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 58.5 points. Before locking in any UNLV vs. Fresno State picks, make sure to check out the college football predictions and analysis from the proven SportsLine Projection Model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 4 of the 2021 season on a 72-58 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on UNLV vs Fresno State and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s Fresno State vs. UNLV picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Fresno State vs. UNLV:

  • UNLV vs. Fresno State spread: Fresno State -30.5
  • UNLV vs. Fresno State over-under: 58.5 points 
  • UNLV vs. Fresno State money line: UNLV +2500, Fresno State -15000 
  • UNLV: Rebels are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in September  
  • FS: Bulldogs are 19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 home games

Featured Game | Fresno State Bulldogs vs. UNLV Rebels

Why UNLV can cover

Senior running back Charles Williams is the leading rusher in the Rebels backfield. Williams has rushed for 219 yards on 47 carries with two touchdowns in 2021. The Fresno, Calif., native was stellar, running for 177 yards to go with two touchdowns in a Week 1 double-overtime loss to Eastern Washington. 

Williams has averaged 109.5 rushing yards per game and should see a heavy workload against the Bulldogs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed 101.3 yards on the ground but only 2.8 yards per carry. Williams is averaging 4.7 yards per rush, so it will surely be a physical battle on Friday night. 

Why Fresno State can cover 

Senior quarterback Jake Haener showed a lot of heart against UCLA. The senior quarterback took a hit late in the fourth quarter while delivering a touchdown strike to junior Erik Brooks. After the play, Haener limped to the sideline but took the field when the Bulldogs were down 37-33 with under a minute left in the fourth. The University of Washington transfer stepped up to the challenge and led his team right down the field. 

Haener and the Bulldogs’ offense marched down the field and he threw a 13-yard laser to junior Jalen Cropper to give Fresno State the lead. Haener was 39 of 53 for 455 yards and two touchdowns, leading Fresno State to an upset on the road against UCLA. 

How to make UNLV vs. Fresno State picks 

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 58.5 points. The model also says one side of the spread is hitting in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the model’s Fresno State vs. UNLV pick at SportsLine

So who wins Fresno State vs. UNLV? And which side of the spread cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations?  Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Fresno State vs. UNLV spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that finished the past five-plus years up nearly $3,000 on its FBS college football picks, and find out.

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