Hawks vs. Mavericks odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Feb. 10 predictions from model on 79-46 roll

Trae Young and the Atlanta Hawks take on Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday evening. The game will be televised nationally, with the American Airlines Center playing host to the festivities in Dallas. The Hawks are 11-12 this season, including a 5-5 record on the road. The Mavericks, meanwhile, are a disappointing 11-14 overall, though Dallas has three wins in its last four games.

Tip-off is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Dallas. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Mavericks as four-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 232 in the latest Hawks vs. Mavericks odds. Before you make any Mavericks vs. Hawks picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is also up more than $8,300 on top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it enters Week 8 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 79-46 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Hawks vs. Mavericks. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Mavericks vs. Hawks:

  • Hawks vs. Mavericks spread: Mavericks -4
  • Hawks vs. Mavericks over-under: 232 points
  • Hawks vs. Mavericks money line: Mavericks -175, Hawks +155
  • ATL: The Hawks are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • DAL: The Mavericks are 1-9 against the spread in the last 10 games

Latest Odds:

Dallas Mavericks

Why the Hawks can cover

Though Atlanta’s offseason acquisitions have paid minimal dividends due to injury, the Hawks do have a trio of standout performers. Young, fresh off an All-Star season in 2019-20, is averaging 26.7 points and 9.2 assists per game to key the offense. John Collins is producing 17.8 points and 7.8 rebounds per game while shooting 55 percent from the floor and 41 percent from three-point distance. 

In the middle, Clint Capela is playing outstanding basketball, leading the NBA in rebounding (14.6 per game) and averaging 13.7 points and 2.4 blocks per contest. Against a Dallas defense that currently ranks in the bottom-five of the NBA on a per-possession basis, the Hawks should be able to score effectively. From there, Atlanta is currently an above-average defensive team with pieces to match up against Doncic.

Why the Mavericks can cover

The Mavericks are a high-powered offensive team, led by the duo of Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis. Doncic is averaging 27.8 points, 9.3 assists and 8.7 rebounds per game, with Porzingis adding 20.0 points and 8.6 rebounds per contest. Dallas is No. 3 in the NBA in ball security, turning the ball over on only 12.3 percent of possessions, and Atlanta is fourth-worst in the league in turnover creation rate at 12.6 percent. From there, the Mavericks are No. 7 in the league in free throw creation, and Rick Carlisle’s team ranks in the top 10 in assist-to-turnover ratio (1.85). 

Defensively, the Mavericks are strong near the rim, allowing only 44.5 points per game in the paint. Atlanta has been uneven offensively at times, including a No. 23 ranking in effective field goal percentage at 51.9 percent for the season.

How to make Hawks vs. Mavericks picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with the simulations projecting 228 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Mavericks vs. Hawks? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.

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