Indians vs. Orioles odds, line: 2021 MLB picks, predictions for June 17 from proven model

The Cleveland Indians look for the four-game series sweep when they take on the Baltimore Orioles on Thursday afternoon. The Orioles (22-45), fifth in the American League East, have lost seven consecutive games and 18 straight road games, which is a club record. The Indians (37-28), second in the AL Central, have won five of six games on their current homestand. The Indians defeated the Orioles 4-3 on Monday, 7-2 on Tuesday and 8-7 on Wednesday.

First pitch from Progressive Field in Cleveland is set for 1:10 p.m. ET. Cleveland is a -125 favorite (risk $125 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Indians vs. Orioles odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total runs scored is nine. Before making any Orioles vs. Indians picks, check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every pitch of every game 10,000 times, had a banner 2019 season, the league’s last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line MLB picks. It is off to a fast start in 2021, going 89-65 on top-rated MLB money-line picks through 11 weeks, returning well over $1,200. Anyone following it has seen huge rewards.

Now, the model has dialed in on Indians vs. Orioles. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the MLB lines and trends for Orioles vs. Indians:

  • Indians vs. Orioles money line: Cleveland -125, Baltimore +115
  • Indians vs. Orioles run line: Baltimore +1.5 (-170)
  • Indians vs. Orioles over-under: 9 runs
  • BAL: The Orioles are 2-4 in head to head matchups vs. the Indians this season. 
  • CLE: The Indians are 14-6 as a home favorite

Why you should back the Orioles

Jorge Lopez gives Baltimore a legitimate chance of earning its first road win since May 5. In his last start against Cleveland on June 6, Lopez recorded his second win of the season as the Orioles backed him with their most runs in a game since the 2015 season in a 18-5 Baltimore rout. He worked five innings, allowing three runs and four hits while walking three. 

Ryan Mountcastle will be a key to providing strong offensive support for Lopez. After a slow start to the season, Mountcastle is hitting .333 with four home runs and 15 RBIs in June. He was 3 for 5 with a homer and three RBIs on Wednesday and has hit .476 with three homers and nine RBIs vs. Cleveland this season. Cedric Mullins can also play a large role in boosting the Orioles to a much-needed victory. He has hit .427 in Baltimore’s 22 wins this season, hitting safely in 21 of those games. He has hit safely in all six games against Cleveland this season, as he has 12 hits in 22 at-bats (.545) with five walks. 

Why you should back the Indians

Eli Morgan gets a matchup vs. the worst team in the American League in his second MLB appearance after he was recalled from Triple-A Columbus on Tuesday. in his MLB debut against the Blue Jays on May 28, he allowed six runs on eight hits and two walks in 2.2 innings pitched, but had to battle rainy and windy conditions. Morgan had a 4.67 ERA in Triple-A this season, but his FIP was 3.99. In 18 starts at Double-A in 2019, Morgan averaged 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings with a 3.79 ERA.

Jose Ramirez is hitting .354 in June with 11 RBIs, 10 runs scored and two home runs. He homered, drove in three runs and scored twice in Wednesday’s win. Amed Rosario hit a two-run homer off Lopez the last time he faced the Baltimore starter on June 6. Rosario, who was acquired in offseason trade with the Mets, has put a quiet start behind him and has hit .330 with 25 runs scored, 17 RBI and seven steals since the beginning of May. Cleveland is now at a season-high nine games over .500. 

How to make Orioles vs. Indians picks

The model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 10.5 runs, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Indians vs. Orioles? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the money line to jump on, all from the advanced model off to a hot start in 2021.

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