Lakers vs. Pelicans odds, line, spread: 2020 NBA picks, Feb. 25 predictions from simulation on 47-30 roll

LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers (43-12) will host Jrue Holiday and the New Orleans Pelicans (25-32) on Tuesday. Both teams have clean injury reports coming in, meaning Zion Williamson and Anthony Davis will face off for the first time. The Lakers currently hold the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference standings, while the Pelicans enter the evening in 10th place, three games behind the Grizzlies for the No. 8 seed. 

Tip-off for this one is set for 10 p.m ET from the Staples Center. Sportsbooks list the Lakers as eight-point favorites, while the over-under for total points is 240.5 in the latest Pelicans vs. Lakers odds. Before making any Lakers vs. Pelicans picks or NBA predictions, you’ll want to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and last season it returned a whopping $4,280 on its top-rated spread and money line picks. It’s already returned well over $3,000 in profit on all top-rated NBA picks during the 2019-20 season and entered Week 19 a blistering 47-30 on all top-rated spread picks this season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Pelicans. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are the NBA odds and trends for Pelicans vs. Lakers:

  • Lakers vs. Pelicans spread: Lakers -8
  • Lakers vs. Pelicans over-under: 240.5 points
  • Lakers vs. Pelicans money line: Los Angeles -349, New Orleans +277
  • NOP: The Pelicans have won five of the past six games.
  • LAL: The Lakers have covered just 48 percent of spreads when playing as favorites.

Why the Lakers can cover

The model is well aware that while New Orleans has played better lately, but it has come against the likes of the Warriors, Bulls, and Trail Blazers. Will their 20th-ranked defense allow New Orleans to contend with a more complete team like the Lakers? 

Davis has averaged 44 points and 11 rebounds in two rematches against his old team so far this season, and the addition of Williamson doesn’t seem like enough to slow down the bigger and more experienced player in AD. Davis has looked energized coming out of the All-Star Break, averaging 30 points, 13 rebounds, and five blocks. His defensive impact has been on another level in his first season in L.A., and his length could give Williamson a lot of trouble.

Why the Pelicans can cover

Even so, Los Angeles isn’t a lock to cover the Lakers vs. Pelicans spread. The model has also considered that the Pelicans are 1-0-1 against the spread when facing the Lakers this season, despite missing Williamson for both games and both Lonzo Ball and Derrick Favors for another. Holiday has been the x-factor, taking full advantage of L.A.’s weak guard play. He’s averaged 21 points, nine assists, five rebounds, and two steals against L.A., and he is rolling entering Tuesday’s action.

The model is also aware that this Pelicans squad has traveled quite well this season. Their 56 percent cover rate against the spread when playing on the road is the eighth-best mark in the NBA, and they’re 11-2-2 ATS in their past 15 road games.

How to make Lakers vs. Pelicans picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total. In fact, the model is projecting James, Brandon Ingram, and Holiday all to finish below their scoring averages. It also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. 

So who wins Pelicans vs. Lakers? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Lakers vs. Pelicans spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.

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