Memphis vs. UCF odds, line, spread: 2021 college football picks, Week 8 predictions from model on 22-9 run

UCF (3-3) hosts Memphis (4-3) in a key American Athletic Conference showdown on Friday. The teams had drastically different outcomes a week ago, with the Tigers dominating Navy, cruising to a 35-17 victory at home, and the Knights getting blown out by No. 2 Cincinnati 56-21. UCF hopes to stay undefeated at home and improve to 4-0. 

Kickoff from Bounce House in Orlando, Fla. is set for 7 p.m. ET. The Tigers are favored by 1.5 points in the latest Memphis vs. UCF odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points is set at 63.5. Before making any UCF vs. Memphis picks or college football predictions, make sure you check out the college football betting advice from the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 8 of the 2021 season on a 22-9 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Memphis vs. UCF and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several college football odds and trends for UCF vs. Memphis:

  • Memphis vs. UCF spread: Memphis -1.5
  • Memphis vs. UCF over-under: 63.5 points 
  • Memphis vs. UCF money line: Memphis -120, UCF +100 
  • MEM: Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Friday games 
  • UCF: Over is 5-1 in Knights last 6 games as a favorite 

Featured Game | UCF Knights vs. Memphis Tigers

Why Memphis can cover

The Tigers head into this matchup with one of the top offenses in the conference. Memphis has the second-ranked total offense in the AAC, averaging 487 yards per game. The Tigers’ offense is led by their air attack and freshman quarterback Seth Henigan. They average 307.6 passing yards per game and 36.1 points per game. 

Henigan is second in the conference with 2,153 passing yards and 16 passing touchdowns. The Texas native has thrown for 300-plus yards in four of the six games played. His best performance of the season came against Arkansas State. He went 22-of-33 for 417 yards with five passing touchdowns. Henigan and the Tigers’ offense should put pressure on UCF’s secondary. 

Why UCF can cover

The Knights have the second-ranked rushing attack in the AAC. They average 204.2 rushing yards per game with 14 rushing touchdowns on the year. Senior running back Isaiah Bowser returned to action last week after missing the past two games with a knee injury. Bowser is the team’s second-leading rusher with 64 carries for 296 yards and a team-high six touchdowns.  

Sophomore running back Johnny Richardson took charge when Bowser went down against Louisville. He finished with nine carries for 101 yards. Richardson has 52 carries for 328 yards and one score. The tailback has also snagged nine receptions for 114 yards. This tandem hopes look to find success against a Memphis defense that allows 148.9 rushing yards per game. 

How to make Memphis vs. UCF picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 66 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the model’s UCF vs. Memphis pick at SportsLine

So who wins Memphis vs. UCF? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out. 

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