Mississippi State vs. South Carolina odds: College basketball picks, March 3 predictions by model on 72-48 run

The Mississippi State Bulldogs will look for the season sweep over the host South Carolina Gamecocks when they meet Tuesday in a key SEC matchup in Columbia, S.C. The Bulldogs (19-10), who are tied for fourth in the SEC with Florida at 10-6, are 4-6 on the road, while the Gamecocks (17-12), who are sixth in the conference at 9-7, are 11-4 at home. 

Tip-off from Colonial Life Arena is set for 6:30 p.m. ET. Mississippi State leads the all-time series 23-15. The Gamecocks are two-point favorites in the latest Mississippi State vs. South Carolina odds, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 146.5. Before making any South Carolina vs. Mississippi State picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has crushed its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread the past three years, returning $2,770 to $100 players. It also entered Week 18 of the 2019-20 season on a 72-48 run on all top-rated college basketball picks. Anybody who followed it has seen some huge returns.

Now, the model has locked in on Mississippi State vs. South Carolina. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college basketball lines and trends for South Carolina vs. Mississippi State.

  • Mississippi State vs. South Carolina spread: South Carolina -2
  • Mississippi State vs. South Carolina over-under: 146.5 points
  • Mississippi State vs. South Carolina money line: Mississippi State +111, South Carolina -133
  • MSU: Is 27th in the country in field-goal percentage at 47.1
  • SC: Is averaging 73 points per game

Why South Carolina can cover

The Gamecocks are looking for their 10th SEC win, which would mark the fourth time in the past five years South Carolina reached double-digit league victories. South Carolina is holding opponents to just 40.6 percent from the field on their home court this season. The Gamecocks have held 12 opponents to under 40 percent from the field and five of those under 30 percent. 

Sophomore guard AJ Lawson leads the Gamecocks in scoring at 13.7 points per game and has reached double figures in four consecutive games and in six of the past seven. He has scored 20 or more points in six games this season, the last a 20-point performance at Georgia on Feb. 12. His season-high was 28 points against Cleveland State on Nov. 15.

Why Mississippi State can cover

Even so, the Gamecocks aren’t a lock to cover the Mississippi State vs. South Carolina spread. That’s because the Bulldogs have captured 10 or more SEC victories in back-to-back seasons for the fifth time in program history and for the first time since the 1994-95 and 1995-96 seasons. The Bulldogs also earned six February wins for the second consecutive season and for the seventh time since the 1960s.

Sophomore forward Reggie Perry leads Mississippi State in scoring at 17.2 points and in rebounds at 9.7 per game. He is third in assists at 2.4. He has scored in double figures in each of the last 10 games, including a 27-point performance at Florida on Jan. 28. He has recorded a double-double in 15 games this season, the last in an 80-73 win over Alabama on Feb. 25.

How to make Mississippi State vs. South Carolina picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total. In fact, it says Perry will score two fewer points than his season average, while South Carolina’s Maik Kotsar will score one point under his. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations. 

So who wins South Carolina vs. Mississippi State? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mississippi State vs. South Carolina spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $2,700 on its college basketball picks the last three years, and find out.

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