NFL picks, 2021 NFC, AFC Championship best bets, predictions, simulations, parlay from top model on 120-78 run

The 2021 NFL Playoffs are down to four teams. On Sunday, the 2021 NFC Championship Game and 2021 AFC Championship Game will determine who will reach the Super Bowl in Tampa. Packers vs. Buccaneers will kick off the action at 3:05 p.m. ET, followed by Chiefs vs. Bills at Arrowhead Stadium at 6:40 p.m. ET. Both home teams are three-point favorites in the latest Championship Weekend NFL odds from William Hill Sportsbook.

Meanwhile, with all four teams ranking in the top six in scoring offense during the regular season, the over-under for Packers vs. Buccaneers is 52, while the total for the Chiefs and Bills is 54.5 in the latest NFL lines. How should you construct your NFL bets on Sunday? If you’re feeling truly bold, SportsLine’s proven computer model is going huge, putting together a four-way parlay of NFL best bets that could return a massive 10-1 payout.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning well over $800. The model also enters Championship Weekend of the 2021 NFL Playoffs on an incredible 120-78 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

Additionally, the model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has examined the latest 2021 Championship Weekend NFL odds and NFL betting lines from William Hill, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. If you parlay its picks, you could be looking at payout of 10-1. You can only see them here

Top NFL predictions for the Championship Round

One of the top Championship Round NFL picks the model recommends: Bills vs. Chiefs goes under the total of 54.5. Both teams are coming off disappointing performances on offense last week. Even before Mahomes departed with a concussion against the Browns, Kansas City had struggled to convert red-zone opportunities to touchdowns, finding the end zone in just two of its five trips inside the 20-yard-line.

Meanwhile, the Bills’ passing attack was limited by high winds in a 17-3 win over the Ravens, as quarterback Josh Allen averaged just 5.6 yards per pass attempt after averaging 7.9 during the regular season. 

Sunday’s Chiefs vs. Bills weather forecast is currently calling for temperatures in the low 40s with a chance of precipitation at kickoff. Even with Mahomes cleared to play, the model predicts that neither quarterback will pass for more than 260 yards on Sunday. That helps the under hit in nearly 60 percent of simulations.

How to make Championship Weekend NFL picks

The model has also made the call against the spread in both conference title games and has found huge value on one of the underdogs. You can only get every pick for every game here.

What are the top NFL picks for Championship Weekend? And which underdog do you need to jump all over? Visit SportsLine now to see the NFL best bets for Championship Weekend, all from the model that is up nearly $7,900 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out. 

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