Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State odds: 2021 Egg Bowl picks, college football predictions from model on 39-25 run

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are just 7-4 on the season and 4-3 during SEC play, but they’ve fared quite well against ranked opponents in 2021. Mississippi State is 3-1 in such contests, defeating Texas A&M (15th), Kentucky (12th) and Auburn (17th) while losing to Alabama (fifth). The Bulldogs aim to conclude the regular season with another triumph when they host the No. 9 Ole Miss Rebels in the 2021 Egg Bowl on Thanksgiving Day. Ole Miss posted a 31-24 victory at home over its conference rival in last year’s meeting.

Kickoff at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Miss., is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. The Bulldogs are two-point favorites in the latest Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 64. Before making any Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 13 of the 2021 season on a 39-25 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has locked in on Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State and just revealed its picks and Egg Bowl 2021 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the CFB odds and betting lines for Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss:  

  • Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss spread: Bulldogs -2
  • Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss over-under: 64 points
  • Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss money line: Bulldogs -130, Rebels +110
  • MSU: The Bulldogs are 5-0 against the spread in their last five games
  • UM: The Rebels are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings with the Bulldogs

Featured Game | Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Ole Miss Rebels

Why Mississippi State can cover

The Bulldogs rank 22nd in the nation in total offense (452.3 yards) and are tied for second in passing (390.2) thanks to the stellar play of Will Rogers. The sophomore quarterback is second in the country with 4,113 passing yards after amassing 391 in Mississippi State’s 55-10 rout of Tennessee State on Saturday. Rogers also threw five touchdown passes, marking the third straight contest in which he recorded at least four.

Senior wideout Austin Williams benefited most from Rogers’ scoring barrage, hauling in three of the TD passes after catching just one over his first 10 games of the season. Makai Polk posted his second 100-yard performance in three contests as he had nine receptions for 119 yards and a touchdown. The junior, who has caught three TD passes in his last two outings, leads Mississippi State with 88 receptions, 891 yards and nine touchdown catches.

Why Ole Miss can cover

The Rebels are 63-46-6 all-time against their in-state rivals and 57-29-5 since the Egg Bowl originated in 1927. They enter this matchup with a three-game winning streak and victories in six of their last seven contests after defeating Vanderbilt 31-17 on Saturday. Ole Miss has the fifth-best offense in the nation (517.5 yards) and is seventh in rushing (231.1) while its passing attack ranks 20th (286.4).

The leader of the aerial attack is Matt Corral, who has thrown for 3,100 yards with 19 touchdowns and only three interceptions. The junior, who is expected to enter the 2022 NFL Draft, has eclipsed the 300-yard mark in two of his last three outings as he passed for 326 and two scores against the Commodores. Corral also has been dangerous with his legs as he is second on the team with 10 rushing TDs and third with 552 yards on the ground.

How to make Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss picks

The model is going under on the total, projecting 51 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine

So who wins Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State? And which side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model on a 39-25 run on its top-rated college football side picks, and find out.

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