Pacers vs. Spurs odds, line, spread: 2020 NBA picks, March 2 predictions from model on 47-30 roll

DeMar DeRozan and the San Antonio Spurs (25-33) will host Victor Oladipo and the Indiana Pacers (36-24) on Monday. LaMarcus Aldridge (doubtful, shoulder) will likely miss his third-straight game for San Antonio, and Jakob Poeltl (knee) has already been ruled out. Jeremy Lamb (knee) will miss the rest of the season for the Pacers, who are otherwise healthy.

Tip-off for this one is set for 8:30 p.m ET from the AT&T Center. Sportsbooks list Indiana as a 2.5-point road favorite, while the over-under for total points is 221 in the latest Pacers vs. Spurs odds. Before making any Spurs vs. Pacers picks or NBA predictions, you’ll want to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and last season it returned a whopping $4,280 on its top-rated spread and money line picks. It’s already returned well over $3,000 in profit on all top-rated NBA picks during the 2019-20 season and entered Week 19 a blistering 47-30 on all top-rated spread picks this season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Pacers vs. Spurs. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are the NBA odds and trends for Spurs vs. Pacers:

  • Pacers vs. Spurs spread: Pacers -2.5
  • Pacers vs. Spurs over-under: 221 points
  • Pacers vs. Spurs money line: Indiana -136, San Antonio +115
  • IND: The Pacers are just 4-7-1 ATS since the start of February.
  • SAS: The Spurs have covered just two of the past nine spreads.

Why the Pacers can cover

The model is well aware that San Antonio has not benefited from home-court advantage at all this season, posting just a 32.1 percent ATS cover rate when playing at the AT&T Center. Only the Minnesota Timberwolves have a worse mark this season. The Spurs haven’t covered a spread at home in over a month, and they’ll now be without their starting and backup center.

This is excellent news for an Indiana team that runs the majority of its offense through big man Domantas Sabonis. The first-time All-Star is in the midst of a major breakout campaign, averaging 18.4 points, 12.5 rebounds, and 4.9 assists. Sabonis is rolling entering March, posting a double-double in five-straight games, while falling just one assist short of a triple-double in two of those games. He should dominate the paint against a San Antonio team down to its third option at center.

Why the Spurs can cover

Despite that clear-cut edge, Indiana isn’t a lock to cover the Pacers vs. Spurs spread. The model is well aware that the Pacers are coming off of one of their most inconsistent months of the season. They are just 4-7-1 ATS since the start of February, which resulted in a drop from the four seed to the six seed in the Eastern Conference standings. They just lost a key rotation player in Lamb for the season, and the team is still in the process of re-introducing Oladipo into its offensive game plan and rotations. 

San Antonio might be catching the Pacers at the right time, as they are in a bit of a transitional stage as they figure out their new rotation while gearing up for the playoffs. If Indiana is distracted from its opponent at hand, it could allow San Antonio to sneak up and cover as home dogs.

How to make Pacers vs. Spurs picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total with the simulations projecting that five players from each side reach double-digit scoring. It also says one side of the spread hits in more than 50 percent of simulations.

So who wins Pacers vs. Spurs? And which side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Spurs vs. Pacers spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.  

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