Rays vs. Orioles odds, line: 2021 MLB picks, May 20 predictions from proven computer model

The Tampa Bay Rays go for the series sweep when they take on the host Baltimore Orioles in a key American League East matchup on Thursday. The Rays (25-19), who are second in the division but just one game behind first-place Boston, are 12-5 this month, including Tuesday’s 9-7 win over Baltimore. The Orioles (17-25), who are fifth in the AL East, have lost six of their last seven games. Baltimore has struggled of late and is 5-11 in May.

First pitch from Camden Yards in Baltimore is set for 12:35 p.m. ET. The Rays lead the all-time series 205-198, although Baltimore holds a 107-95 edge in home games. Tampa Bay is a -157 favorite on the money line in the latest Rays vs. Orioles odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total runs scored is nine. Before making any Orioles vs. Rays picks, check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every pitch of every game 10,000 times, had a banner 2019 season, the league’s last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line MLB picks. It is off to a fast start in 2021, going 52-36 on top-rated MLB money-line picks through seven weeks, returning over $900. Anyone following it has seen huge rewards.

Now, the model has dialed in on Rays vs. Orioles. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the MLB lines and trends for Orioles vs. Rays:

  • Rays vs. Orioles money line: Tampa Bay -157, Baltimore +147
  • Rays vs. Orioles run line: Tampa Bay -1.5
  • Rays vs. Orioles over-under: 9 runs
  • TB: The Rays are 8-0 in their last eight road games against a team with a losing record
  • BAL: The Over is 6-0 in the Orioles’ last six games overall

Featured Game | Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Why you should back the Rays

Tampa Bay will send left-hander Rich Hill (2-1, 4.26 ERA) to the mound. In his last start, Hill allowed no runs and three hits, while walking three and striking out nine in 6 2/3 innings vs. the New York Yankees as he picked up the win. He has put together three consecutive scoreless outings, allowing six hits in 15 2/3 innings, with six walks and 17 strikeouts. For the season, Hill has walked 13, while striking out 41.

Offensively, the Rays are led by third baseman Yandy Diaz, who has a six-game hitting streak. On Wednesday, Diaz was 1-for-5 and is 10-for-24 (.417) during that six-game stretch. He has 12 multi-hit games, and is 3-for-10 against the Orioles this season. In 23 career games against Baltimore, he is batting .266 with five doubles, two homers and eight RBIs.

Why you should back the Orioles 

Right-hander Dean Kremer (0-3, 5.81 ERA) will get the start for Baltimore. After posting an ERA of 8.40 in April, Kremer has compiled a 3.38 ERA over his last three starts. He is 1-4 with a 5.44 ERA in 11 starts in his two-year career. He has one career start against the Rays, pitching five innings, allowing three hits, one earned run and three walks, while striking out six for an ERA of 1.80.

Outfielder Cedric Mullins has been on a tear and had an 11-game hitting streak snapped on Wednesday, although he walked and scored. He was 12-for-42 (.286) during that stretch. For the season, Mullins is hitting .305 with six homers and 12 RBIs. He has scored 23 runs. He has 11 multi-hit games, including a 5-for-5 performance with three doubles against Boston earlier this season.

How to make Orioles vs. Rays picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, as the teams combine for 9.3 runs in the simulations, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Rays vs. Orioles? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the money line to jump on, all from the advanced model off to a hot start in 2021.

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