San Diego State vs. San Jose State odds: 2021 college football picks, Week 7 predictions from proven model

No. 24 San Diego State (5-0, 1-0) will be looking to improve to 6-0 in 2021 when it visits Mountain West Conference rival San Jose State (3-3, 1-1) on Friday night. The Aztecs’ potent ground game has powered them to an undefeated record, and the Spartans’ questionable quarterback situation could give the visitors an edge as Nick Starkel (arm) is questionable.

Kickoff at CEFCU Stadium will be at 10:30 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Aztecs are nine-point favorites in the latest San Diego State vs. San Jose State odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over-under for total points scored is set at 41. Before locking in any San Jose State State vs. San Diego State picks, you need to check out the college football predictions from the Sportsline Projection model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,800 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 7 of the 2021 season on a 19-7 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has its sights set on San Diego State vs. San Jose State and it just released its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s CFB picks. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for San Jose State vs. San Diego State:

  • San Diego State vs. San Jose State: San Jose State -9 
  • San Diego State vs. San Jose State over-under: 41 
  • San Diego State vs. San Jose State money line: San Diego State -360, San Jose State +285 
  • SDSU: The Aztecs are 7-1 straight up in their previous eight matchups against the Spartans 
  • SJSU: The Spartans are 8-1 straight up in their last nine home games

Featured Game | San Jose State Spartans vs. San Diego State Aztecs

Why San Diego State can cover

The Aztecs lost their matchup against the Spartans last year. However, they were very successful in the meetings that preceded that game, winning seven of its previous 10 matchups against San Jose State. their only loss at CEFCU Stadium during that span came in 2008.

The Aztecs’ defense has been elite in 2021. They’re only giving up 50 rushing yards and 270.4 total yards per contest. Utah is the only team that’s scored more than 21 points against the Aztecs this season, so San Jose State could struggle to put points on the scoreboard. 

San Diego State also has a formidable rushing attack thanks to running back Greg Bell. Bell has rushed for more than 100 yards in four of his five appearances this season and has tallied 520 rushing yards with five rushing touchdowns this season. The visiting team’s mix of sturdy defense and a reliable ground game should make things tough on the hosts. 

Why San Jose State can cover

The Aztecs have beaten the Spartans by more than 20 points four times since 2014, but San Jose State is starting to turn things around. SJSU secured an upset win over San Diego State last year, and this matchup has been decided by an average of 7.33 points over the previous three seasons. The Spartans can get the job done if they keep their hot streak at home going. 

San Jose State is 2-0 at home this year and has won its last three home games by an average of 18 points. While San Diego State is 1-0 on the road this year, the Aztecs ended 2020 with a three-game losing streak on the road. The Aztecs’ quarterback carousel could benefit the Spartans. SDSU’s Jordan Brookshire and Lucas Johnson are well below the national average in terms of completion percentage in 2021. If the Aztecs continue to rely heavily on their ground game, the Spartans could cover in a low-scoring contest.

How to make San Diego State vs. San Jose State picks

The model is leaning under on the point total and projects the teams to combine for 39 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get the model’s SDSU vs. SJSU pick at SportsLine.  

So who wins San Diego State vs. San Jose State? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that’s entering Week 7 on a 19-7 roll on top-rated college football picks, and find out.

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