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Texas Tech vs. Iowa State odds, line: College football picks, Week 11 predictions from proven computer model

Bowl eligibility is on the line for Texas Tech (5-4) when it plays host to Iowa State (6-3) in a Week 11 Big 12 matchup on Saturday, November 13 at Jones AT&T Stadium in Lubbock, Tex. The Red Raiders are looking to snap a two-game losing streak after falling to No. 4 Oklahoma 52-21 in their last outing on Oct. 30. Iowa State is coming off a decisive 30-7 win over Texas last weekend, and is still mathematically alive in the race for the 2021 Big 12 Championship Game. Texas Tech leads the all-time series 11-8.

Kickoff is at 3:30 p.m. ET. Iowa State is favored by 10.5 points in the latest Texas Tech vs. Iowa State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 58.5. Before making any Iowa State vs. Texas Tech picks or CFB bets, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on a 31-20 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has locking in on Texas Tech vs. Iowa State and just released its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Texas Tech vs. Iowa State:

  • Texas Tech vs. Iowa State spread: Texas Tech +10.5
  • Texas Tech vs. Iowa State over-under: 58 points
  • Texas Tech vs. Iowa State moneyline: Iowa State -420, Texas Tech +320

Featured Game | Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Iowa State Cyclones

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What you need to know about Texas Tech

The Red Raiders found themselves the reluctant recipients of an unpleasant 52-21 punch to the gut against the Oklahoma Sooners in their last outing. Texas Tech was in a tough position by the half, with the score already sitting at 28-7. The losing side was boosted by WR Erik Ezukanma, who caught eight passes for one TD and 123 yards.

Texas Tech is coming off a bye last week, and should enter this game rested and refreshed. The team should also have a renewed sense of focus now that school officials have made the decision to hire Joey McGuire as the program’s next full-time head coach. For the Red Raiders to keep this game close, they will have to contain Iowa State star Breece Hall and defend the run better than they have all year.

What you need to know about Iowa State

Meanwhile, the Texas Longhorns typically have all the answers at home, but on Saturday the Cyclones proved too difficult a challenge. Iowa State blew past the Longhorns 30-7. It was another big night for Iowa State’s RB Breece Hall, who rushed for 136 yards and two touchdowns on 19 carries.

The Cyclones have already punched their bowl ticket, but still have a very real chance at earning a spot in the Big 12 title game. The Cyclone’s defense is arguably the best defensive unit in the conference, led by Will McDonald, who has 10 sacks, second most in the country, on the season. Hall should give the Texas Tech defense, which allows 141.8 rushing yards per game, fits.  

How to make Texas Tech vs. Iowa State picks

The model has simulated Texas Tech vs. Iowa State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning under on the point total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Iowa State-Texas Tech pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Iowa State vs. Texas Tech? And which side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to be all over, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out. 

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