MACtion continues this week and, after an interesting slate on Tuesday, another intriguing matchup arrives on Wednesday. The Toledo Rockets visit the Bowling Green Falcons in a conference battle at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. Toledo is 4-5 this season with a 2-3 record in MAC play. Bowling Green is 3-6 overall with a 1-4 record against conference opponents.
Kickoff is at 7 p.m. ET in Bowling Green. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Rockets as 10.5-point road favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 50.5 in the latest Toledo vs. Bowling Green odds. Before locking in any Bowling Green vs. Toledo picks or MACtion bets, make sure you check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on a 31-20 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has locked in on Toledo vs. Bowling Green and just released its coveted MACtion picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Bowling Green vs. Toledo:
- Toledo vs. Bowling Green spread: Toledo -10.5
- Toledo vs. Bowling Green over-under: 50.5 points
- Toledo vs. Bowling Green money line: Toledo -420, BG +320
- TOL: The Rockets are 5-4 against the spread in 2021
- BG: The Falcons are 7-2 against the spread this season
Featured Game | Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rockets
Why Toledo can cover
The Rockets are excellent defensively, with strengths on the offensive side as well. Toledo leads the MAC in scoring defense, allowing 22 points per game, and the Rockets are No. 2 in total defense, giving up 344.7 yards per game. Toledo is very strong against the pass, allowing 200.3 yards per game through the air, and opponents are completing 56.8 percent of passes and averaging only 6.6 yards per pass attempt against the Rockets. On the ground, Toledo is yielding only 144.3 yards per game, and the Rockets lead the entire MAC in yards per carry allowed (3.6) and rushing touchdowns allowed (seven).
On offense, Toledo is putting up 30.8 points per game, and the Rockets are taking care of the ball with the fewest interceptions (two) in the MAC. Bowling Green’s defense is yielding more than 30 points and 190 rushing yards per game, with the Rockets in an excellent position to score and move the ball efficiently.
Why Bowling Green can cover
Bowling Green’s defense is playing at a high level this season. The Falcons are No. 4 in the MAC in total defense, giving up 375.6 yards per game, and Bowling Green leads the MAC in passing defense, yielding 181.6 yards per contest. Opponents are completing only 58.6 percent of passes this season, and Toledo is last in the MAC in completing only 57.4 percent of passes in 2021. The Rockets are also second-worst in the MAC in third down offense, converting 33.9 percent of the time.
The rest of Bowling Green’s passing defense is also excellent, ranking No. 2 in the conference in yards per pass attempt (6.8), touchdown passes allowed (ten) and interceptions (eight). Bowling Green also puts pressure on opposing quarterbacks with 23 sacks, and the Falcons can stuff the run as well, giving up only 4.0 yards per carry to opponents this season.
How to make Bowling Green vs. Toledo picks
The model is leaning over on the total, projecting 54 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time. You can only get the model’s MACtion picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Wednesday night’s MACtion pitting Toledo vs. Bowling Green? And which side of the spread is hitting over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread to back Wednesday, all from the advanced model on a 31-20 run on its top-rated college football side picks, and find out.
