UFC Fight Night 169 odds, predictions: MMA insider reveals picks for Benavidez vs. Figueiredo


Joseph Benavidez is in the conversation of best UFC fighters to have never won a title. He hopes to end that distinction on Saturday when he takes on Deiveson Figueiredo (17-1) in the main event of UFC Fight Night 169. The 12-bout showcase from Chartway Arena in Norfolk, Va., concludes with this battle of flyweight contenders vying for the vacant title. The main UFC Fight Night 169 card is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET.

The top-ranked Benavidez (28-5) came up short in two prior title challenges, but is getting another after two-division champion Henry Cejudo relinquished the belt to focus on the bantamweight division. Benavidez is a -150 favorite (risk $150 to win $100), while Figueiredo is priced at +130 underdog in the latest Benavidez vs. Figueiredo odds. In the co-main event, Felicia Spencer (-800) takes on Zarah Fairn dos Santos (+550) in a women’s featherweight fight. Before making any UFC Fight Night 169 predictions of your own, make sure you hear what SportsLine MMA expert Kyle Marley has to say. 

Marley won the first-ever “ToutMaster” UFC betting contest sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and also appears regularly on multiple MMA betting and DFS shows. Over the past year, $100 bettors who have followed Marley’s picks are up nearly $18,000.

Just last week at UFC Fight Night 168, Marley told SportsLine members to support hometown favorite Dan Hooker (-150) against Paul Felder (+130) in a matchup of rugged ranked lightweights in the main event. He reasoned that Hooker’s slight edge in overall skill would be the difference, and a fifth-round takedown likely gave the New Zealander the edge in a split-decision victory. Anyone who has consistently followed Marley is way up. 

Now, with UFC Fight Night 169 fast approaching, Marley has carefully studied every matchup on the card, identified the best value in the UFC odds and released his MMA picks for every single fight. He’s only sharing those selections here. 

Benavidez vs. Figueiredo preview 

Marley knows both fighters will be eager to take advantage of an opportunity that they likely didn’t believe would materialize this quickly, and Figueiredo might owe Benavidez a debt of gratitude for making it happen. 

Benavidez defeated Henry Cejudo in a 2016 non-title bout and has won three of his four fights since. The 35-year-old Texas native won Performance of the Night for his second-round stoppage of second-ranked Jussier Formiga last June. 

But he faces a daunting challenge from the rising Figueiredo, who has four stoppages among his six UFC victories. The 32-year-old Brazilian submitted Tim Elliott in their October bout. His decision win over Alexandre Pantoja in June earned a Fight of the Night accolade. You can see Marley’s full Benavidez vs. Figueiredo picks here.

Top UFC Fight Night 169 predictions

We’ll share one of Marley’s UFC Fight Night 169 predictions here: He is backing Ion Cutelaba (+165) to pull the upset of Magomed Ankalaev (-190) in a light heavyweight matchup on the main UFC Norfolk card. 

Ankalaev (13-1) has won his last three UFC bouts following a loss in his debut with the promotion. The 27-year-old Russian prevailed in both of his 2019 fights, including a third-round knockout of Dalcha Lungiambula in November. 

Cutelaba (15-4) also has emerged victorious in three of his past four outings. The 26-year-old Moldovan landed an impressive first-round technical knockout of Khalil Rountree in September. 

“Cutelaba is the more active fighter, so he will likely be the one throwing more volume and he has knockout power as well,” Marley told SportsLine.

How to make UFC Fight Night 169 picks

Marley also has strong picks for Benavidez vs. Figueiredo, Spencer vs. Fairn dos Santos and every other bout on the UFC Fight Night 169 card. He’s also backing one “relentless grappler” who will win most striking exchanges too. Get every pick for every fight on the UFC Norfolk card at SportsLine.

Who wins Benavidez vs. Figueiredo? And how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on every fight at UFC Fight Night 169, all from the expert who’s up nearly $18,000 on MMA in the past year, and find out. 

UFC Fight Night 169 odds

Joseph Benavidez (-150) vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (+130)
Felicia Spencer (-800) vs. Zarah Fairn dos Santos (+550)
Magomed Ankalaev (-190) vs. Ion Cutelaba (+165)
Megan Anderson (-225) vs. Norma Dumont (+185)
Grant Dawson (-420) vs. Darrick Minner (+335)
Luis Pena (n/a) vs. Steve Garcia Jr. (n/a)
Gabriel Silva (-130) vs. Kyler Philips (+110)
Tom Breese (-135) vs. Brendan Allen (+115)
Sergey Spivak (-120) vs. Marcin Tybura (+100)
Jordan Griffin (-140) vs. TJ Brown (+120)
Aalon Cruz (-175) vs. Spike Carlyle (+155)
Ismail Naurdiev (-140) vs. Sean Brady (+120)





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