UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley odds, predictions: MMA insider releases surprising fight card picks

For a fighter who is known as much for his outlandish interviews as his combat skills, Colby Covington has been noticeably quiet in the lead-up to his fight on Saturday against Tyron Woodley. Many observers take this to mean that the second-ranked welterweight contender is intently focused on beating the former champion. He gets his long-awaited opportunity in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley from Las Vegas. The main UFC fight card from the Apex facility is slated for 8 p.m. ET.

Both fighters are coming off losses, with Covington falling to current champ Kamaru Usman and Woodley looking to snap a two-fight skid that began with dropping his title to Usman last year. Covington is a -340 favorite (risk $340 to win $100), while Woodley is offered at +280 in the latest UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley odds from William Hill. In the co-main event, rising contender Niko Price (-155) faces veteran Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone (+135) in another welterweight matchup. Before making any UFC Fight Night picks, make sure you see what SportsLine MMA analyst Kyle Marley has to say, considering the epic run he’s on.

Marley won the first-ever “ToutMaster” UFC betting contest sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and appears regularly on multiple MMA betting and daily Fantasy shows. He watches every single fight for every single UFC card and does extensive research before each event.

Over the past 19 months, $100 bettors who have followed Marley’s picks are up more than $19,000. The accomplished MMA analyst has been on a rock-solid run in 2020 as he has connected on 19 of his last 23 main-event selections, a stretch that includes a streak of five straight underdogs. 

At UFC Fight Night on Saturday, Marley accurately predicted a split-decision win for Michelle Waterson (+110) against Angela Hill in the strawweight main event. He reasoned that Waterson’s edge on the ground would be the difference, and was proven correct when her takedowns were a key factor in the razor-thin margin of victory. Anyone who has consistently followed Marley is way up.

Now, with UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley fast approaching, Marley has carefully studied every matchup on the card, identified the best value in the UFC odds and released his MMA picks for every fight. Those selections are only available at SportsLine.

Covington vs. Woodley preview

Covington (15-2), 32, was the top-rated contender when Usman became champion and stood toe-to-toe with the champ for four-plus rounds. He was wobbled and stopped at 4:10 of the final round, later protesting against what he viewed as biased officiating. The loss snapped a seven-fight win streak, and Gilbert Burns has since ascended to the top contender spot.

Woodley (19-5-1) was on the short end of a lopsided decision against the nonstop, grappling-based attack of Usman in perhaps the worst performance of his career. However, his May loss to Burns essentially looked like a replay, leading many observers wondering whether the 38-year-old veteran of many Octagon battles is in the twilight of his career.

Covington presents the same problematic style of Woodley’s last two opponents. Even so, Woodley’s punching power and motivation against his rival could be considered equalizing factors. You can see Marley’s coveted Covington vs. Woodley picks here.

Top UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley predictions

We’ll share one of Marley’s UFC Fight Night selections here: He is backing Kevin Holland (-240) to get his hand raised against Darren Stewart (+200) in a matchup of middleweight prospects. Many observers expect this bout to be one of the most entertaining battles on the UFC Fight Night card.

Holland (18-5) has caught the attention of UFC followers because of his polished skill set inside the Octagon and his affable demeanor outside of it. The 27-year-old Californian seeks his third win of 2020 following a first-round stoppage of Anthony Hernandez in May and a third-round technical knockout of Joaquin Buckley last month. 

Stewart (12-5-1) is fighting on a similarly quick turnaround following his first-round submission of Maki Pitolo just six weeks ago. The 29-year-old English fighter has won three of his last four, including victories over fellow prospects Deron Winn and Bevon Lewis. 

“Holland has all of the advantages in this matchup, aside from fight IQ,” Marley told SportsLine. “Holland should be the one throwing and landing more volume.”

How to make UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley picks

Marley also has strong picks for Covington vs. Woodley and every other bout on the UFC Fight Night card. He is also backing a fighter who “will have a major edge on the ground.” Those selections are only available here

Who wins Woodley vs. Covington? And how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on every fight at UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley, all from the incomparable expert who’s up over $19,000 on MMA in the past 19 months and nailed 19 of the last 23 main events, and find out.

UFC Fight Night odds (via William Hill)

Colby Covington (-340) vs. Tyron Woodley (+280)
Niko Price (-155) vs. Donald Cerrone (+135)
Khamzat Chimaev (-500) vs. Gerald Meerschaert (+400)
Johnny Walker (-125) vs. Ryan Spann (+105)
Mackenzie Dern (-170) vs. Randa Markos (+150)
Kevin Holland (-240) vs. Darren Stewart (+200)
Mirsad Bektic (-450) vs. Luiz Garagorri (+375)
Mayra Bueno Silva (-240) vs. Maria Romero Borella (+200)
Jordan Espinosa (-110) vs. David Dvorak (-110)
Jessica Rose-Clark (-200) vs. Sarah Alpar (+180)
Journey Newson (-140) vs. Randy Costa (+120)
Andre Ewell (-190) vs. Irwin Rivera (+170)
T.J. Laramie (-260) vs. Darrick Minner (+220) 

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