UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley odds, predictions: MMA insider reveals surprising fight card picks

The last time UFC fans saw Colby Covington was on the wrong end of a title-fight loss to Kamaru Usman in the main event of UFC 245 in December 2019. The outspoken Covington gets another shot on Saturday when he takes on former welterweight champion Tyron Woodley at UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley. Covington has been quiet in the build-up to UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley, but that doesn’t mean he intends to be passive. The UFC Fight Night card begins with prelims at 5 p.m. ET, with the main card at 8 p.m. ET.

Covington isn’t the only fighter in the main event looking to avenge a loss, as Woodley has dropped two straight, beginning with a title loss to Usman in 2019. Covington is a -340 favorite (risk $340 to win $100), while Woodley is offered at +280 in the latest UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley odds from William Hill. In the co-main event, rising contender Niko Price (-155) faces veteran Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone (+135) in another welterweight matchup. Before making any UFC Fight Night picks, make sure you see what SportsLine MMA analyst Kyle Marley has to say, considering the epic run he’s on.

Marley won the first-ever “ToutMaster” UFC betting contest sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and appears regularly on multiple MMA betting and daily Fantasy shows. He watches every single fight for every single UFC card and does extensive research before each event.

Over the past 19 months, $100 bettors who have followed Marley’s picks are up more than $19,000. The accomplished MMA analyst has been on a rock-solid run in 2020 as he has connected on 19 of his last 23 main-event selections, a stretch that includes a streak of five straight underdogs. 

At UFC Fight Night on Saturday, Marley accurately predicted a split-decision win for Michelle Waterson (+110) against Angela Hill in the strawweight main event. He reasoned that Waterson’s edge on the ground would be the difference, and was proven correct when her takedowns were a key factor in the razor-thin margin of victory. Anyone who has consistently followed Marley is way up.

Now, with UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley fast approaching, Marley has carefully studied every matchup on the card, identified the best value in the UFC odds and released his MMA picks for every fight. Those selections are only available at SportsLine.

Covington vs. Woodley preview

Covington (15-2), 32, was the top-rated contender when Usman became champion and stood toe-to-toe with the champ for four-plus rounds. He was wobbled and stopped at 4:10 of the final round, later protesting against what he viewed as biased officiating. The loss snapped a seven-fight win streak, and Gilbert Burns has since ascended to the top contender spot.

Woodley (19-5-1) was on the short end of a lopsided decision against the nonstop, grappling-based attack of Usman in perhaps the worst performance of his career. However, his May loss to Burns essentially looked like a replay, leading many observers wondering whether the 38-year-old veteran of many Octagon battles is in the twilight of his career.

Covington presents the same problematic style of Woodley’s last two opponents. Even so, Woodley’s punching power and motivation against his rival could be considered equalizing factors. You can see Marley’s coveted Covington vs. Woodley picks here.

Top UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley predictions

We’ll share one of Marley’s UFC Fight Night selections here: He is backing David Dvorak (-110) to get his hand raised against Jordan Espinosa (-110) by decision in a matchup of flyweight contenders. Espinosa is an inch taller than the 5-foot-5 Dvorak and carries a 69-inch reach to Dvorak’s 68. 

The 15-7 Espinosa has been busy in 2020, losing by submission to Alex Perez in January but rebounding with a unanimous decision victory against Mark De La Rosa in June. Dvorak (18-3) is riding a 14-fight winning streak and hasn’t lost since May 2012. There isn’t much gap between the two grapplers, but Marley likes Dvorak’s style over Espinosa’s flash as a difference-maker. 

“Both fighters looked really good in their last bouts and this is a close matchup,” Marley told SportsLine. “Espinosa should be the faster and flashier striker and the one throwing more volume. Dvorak looks like he has a higher ceiling and could be the more well-rounded and dangerous fighter.”

How to make UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley picks

Marley also has strong picks for Covington vs. Woodley and every other bout on the UFC Fight Night card. He is also backing a fighter who “will have a major edge on the ground.” Those selections are only available here

Who wins Woodley vs. Covington? And how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on every fight at UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley, all from the incomparable expert who’s up over $19,000 on MMA in the past 19 months and nailed 19 of the last 23 main events, and find out.

UFC Fight Night odds (via William Hill)

Colby Covington (-340) vs. Tyron Woodley (+280)
Niko Price (-155) vs. Donald Cerrone (+135)
Khamzat Chimaev (-500) vs. Gerald Meerschaert (+400)
Johnny Walker (-125) vs. Ryan Spann (+105)
Mackenzie Dern (-170) vs. Randa Markos (+150)
Kevin Holland (-240) vs. Darren Stewart (+200)
Mirsad Bektic (-450) vs. Luiz Garagorri (+375)
Mayra Bueno Silva (-240) vs. Maria Romero Borella (+200)
Jordan Espinosa (-110) vs. David Dvorak (-110)
Jessica Rose-Clark (-200) vs. Sarah Alpar (+180)
Journey Newson (-140) vs. Randy Costa (+120)
Andre Ewell (-190) vs. Irwin Rivera (+170)
T.J. Laramie (-260) vs. Darrick Minner (+220) 

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