Monday, October 2, 2023

Titans at Seahawks odds, picks: Point spread, total, player props, trends for Week 2 matchup

The Seattle Seahawks and Tennessee Titans had different experiences in Week 1. Russell Wilson and his offense completely dominated the Indianapolis Colts, 28-16, while the Titans were booed off the field in Nashville, losing 38-13 to the Arizona Cardinals. Tennessee’s secondary couldn’t contain Kyler Murray’s downfield passing attack, which is reason to worry about the Titans’ chances this week.

The Seahawks lead the all-time series, 10-6, while the Titans have won two out of the past three meetings. Below, we will break down this matchup from a gambling perspective and examine the line movement, Over/Under and player props to consider. First, here’s how you can watch Sunday’s matchup. 

All NFL odds are via Caesars Sportsbook.

How to watch

Date: Sunday, Sept. 19 | Time: 4:25 p.m. ET

Location: Lumen Field (Seattle, WA)

CBS | Stream: Paramount+ (click here)

Follow: CBS Sports App

Odds: Seahawks -6.5, O/U 54

Line movement

Latest Odds: Seattle Seahawks -6.5

Powered by Caesars Sportsbook

This line reopened at SEA -5.5 on Monday but rose a full point to SEA -6.5 on Thursday.

The pick: Seahawks -6.5. I’m on the Seahawks, but I wouldn’t bet this line if it rose from here. Murray passed for 289 yards and four touchdowns and ran another score in last week against the Titans. He’s near the top of the too-early MVP rankings, and part of that is because of how badly the Titans struggled in covering receivers. What does Russ love to do? Air it out to his talented receivers. In the win over the Colts, Tyler Lockett caught four passes for 100 yards and two long touchdowns while DK Metcalf caught four passes for 60 yards and a touchdown. Wilson missed just five of his 23 passing attempts, as he and new offensive coordinator Shane Waldron seem like quite a match.

Over/Under 54

Latest Odds: Over 54

Powered by Caesars Sportsbook

This total has experienced some movement. It opened at 52.5 on Monday, but rose to 53.5 by the end of the day. It rose to 54 on Tuesday, and has remained there. 

The pick: Over 54. My lean is to the Over in this matchup. It’s my job to inform you that data scientist Stephen Oh says there’s value on the Under — and it’s hard to disagree with that. Still, we know Wilson’s offense can put up points, but I also think the Titans could want to come out and flex their muscles after last week. It’s more fun to root for points, so I’ll take the Over and hope for a 31-24 game. 

Player props 

Russell Wilson passing touchdowns: Over 1.5 (-200). The juice on this prop is absolutely absurd, but this has to be a lock, right? Even at O/U 2.5 I would consider taking it. 

Derrick Henry receiving yards: Over 8.5 (-115). Derrick Henry is not a receiving back, but he was targeted four times in Week 1. He was targeted four or more times in games only twice all of last season. Maybe this is a new offensive coordinator Todd Downing thing? Henry caught three of his four targets for 19 yards last week, so I’m taking a flier on this one. He could hit this Over on just one screen pass. 

Jason Myers: Over 2.5 (-135). Kicker props aren’t exciting, but they are the props where I find most of my success. Think of this line this way: Will the Seahawks score at least three touchdowns? Myers missing an extra point could obviously ruin this prop, but I say the Seahawks score three or four touchdowns. He made all four extra points last week, and I predict he gets three on Sunday. 

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