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BYU vs. Utah State odds, line, spread: 2021 college football picks, Week 5 predictions from model on 81-61 run

The No. 13 BYU Cougars travel to Logan, Utah to play the Utah State Aggies on Friday in the battle for the “Old Wagon Wheel.” The Cougars are fresh off a 35-27 victory against South Florida, improving to 4-0 on the year. The Aggies (3-1) lost to Boise State 27-3, dropping their first game of the season. BYU quarterback Jaren Hall is probable after missing the last game with a rib injury.

Kickoff from Maverik Stadium is set for 9 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Cougars are favored by 8.5 points in the latest BYU vs. Utah State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points is set at 62. Before making any Utah State vs. BYU picks, make sure you see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. After going a sizzling 9-3 in Week 4, it also enters Week 5 of the 2021 season on a 81-61 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on BYU vs. Utah State. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for Utah State vs. BYU:

  • BYU vs. Utah State spread: BYU -8.5
  • BYU vs. Utah State over-under: 62 points
  • BYU vs. Utah State money line: BYU -340, USU +270
  • BYU: Under is 5-0 in Cougars last 5 vs. a team with a winning record
  • USU: Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home

Featured Game | Utah State Aggies vs. BYU Cougars

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Why BYU can cover

BYU has a well-balanced offense that averages 386.5 yards of total offense. The Cougars have been able to run the ball successfully, which opens things up for the passing game. BYU is averaging 167 yards on the ground while averaging 4.7 yards per carry. The rushing attack is led by sophomore running back Tyler Allgeier.

Allgeier leads the Cougars in rushing yards and carries with 346 yards on 80 carries. The sophomore tailback is coming off a solid performance against South Florida, where he rushed for 81 yards on 15 carries for two touchdowns. Allgeier is averaging a team-high 86.5 rushing yards a game. 

Why Utah State can cover

The Aggies’ offense has been able to move the ball extremely well during the first month of the season. Utah State is averaging 529.8 yards of total offense, finding a rhythm through the air and the ground. The Aggies average 319.7 passing yards a game. Junior quarterback Logan Bonner has completed 60 percent of his passes for 959 yards and seven touchdowns.

Junior quarterback Andrew Peasley has also played for the Aggies and has thrown for 320 yards and three touchdowns. Bonner and Peasley displayed they both can find success in the same game. Against Air Force, Bonner went 21 of 34 for 253 yards and two touchdowns. Peasley then went 10 of 15 for 195 yards and three touchdowns. Both quarterbacks are capable of playing well in the same game and hope to find that success against BYU. 

How to make Utah State vs. BYU picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 51 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins BYU vs. Utah State? And which side of the spread hits in well over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.  

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