College football odds, lines, bets, predictions for Week 11, 2021: Proven model picks Baylor, Notre Dame

The Week 11 college football schedule kicks off with a total of six MACtion games on Tuesday and Wednesday. There’s one game on Thursday, two on Friday and then another loaded Saturday slate. The Week 11 college football odds from Caesars Sportsbook list No. 4 Oklahoma as a six-point favorite against No. 18 Baylor, while No. 11 Texas A&M is favored by 2.5 points against No. 12 Ole Miss.

After knocking off a ranked Kentucky team on the road last week, Tennessee will try to derail top-ranked Georgia’s championship run in the 3:30 p.m. ET SEC on CBS game on Saturday. The Bulldogs are 20.5-point favorites in that one, according to the latest Week 11 college football spreads. Before making any Week 11 college football picks on those games or others, be sure to see the latest college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on a 31-20 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 11 college football odds from Caesars and locked in picks for every FBS matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 11 college football predictions

One of the top college football picks the model is recommending for Week 11: No. 18 Baylor (+6) stays within the spread against No. 8 Oklahoma in a Big 12 showdown at noon ET on Saturday in Waco. The Bears were upset in Week 10 by TCU, but they’ve been great against the spread all season. Dave Aranda’s squad has gone 5-3 ATS with a perfect 4-0 mark at home.

The model sees Oklahoma picking up the straight-up win as the Sooners score 33 points in the simulations. But the Bears, ranked second in the Big 12 in scoring offense, match Oklahoma almost score for score, leading to value on the Bears against the spread. They get two passing two touchdowns from Gerry Bohanon in the simulations as they stay within the spread well over 50 percent of the time.

Another one of the college football predictions from the model: No. 7 Notre Dame (-4.5) covers against Virginia in a 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday matchup. The Fighting Irish have also been strong against the spread, going 6-3 ATS this season. Virginia, meanwhile, comes into this matchup with big concerns on defense after the Cavaliers gave up 66 points to BYU in their last outing.

The model sees Notre Dame’s defense keeping Virginia’s high-flying offense in check as the Cavaliers score just 25 points. That contributes to the under (64) hitting almost 60 percent of the time, while Notre Dame wins by double digits and picks up the cover more than 60 percent of the time.

How to make Week 11 college football picks

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 11 college football schedule, and it’s calling for a top-15 team to go down hard in a surprising upset. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what college football picks can you make with confidence? And which top-15 squad gets stunned? Check out the latest college football odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $3,500 in profit over the past five-plus seasons, and find out.