Monday, March 20, 2023

Duke vs. Virginia prediction, odds: 2022 college basketball picks, Feb. 7 best bets from proven model

The ninth-ranked Duke Blue Devils look to stay hot when they take on the Virginia Cavaliers in a key Atlantic Coast Conference matchup on Monday night. The Cavaliers (14-9, 8-5), who have won two in a row, are 0-1 against ranked opponents this season, dropping a 67-47 decision to then-No. 15 Houston on Nov. 16. The Blue Devils (19-3, 9-2), who have won five straight and seven of eight, are 13-1 on their home court this year. Virginia is coming off a 71-58 win over Miami, Fla., on Saturday, while Duke crushed North Carolina 87-67.

Tipoff from Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, N.C., is set for 7 p.m. ET. Duke leads the all-time series 122-52, including a 59-11 edge in games at Durham. The Blue Devils are 11.5-point favorites in the latest Virginia vs. Duke odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 129. Before making any Duke vs. Virginia picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $2,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Duke vs. UVA, and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for UVA vs. Duke:

  • Duke vs. Virginia spread: Duke -11.5
  • Duke vs. Virginia over-under: 129 points
  • Duke vs. Virginia money line: Duke -700, Virginia +475
  • UVA: The Cavaliers are 12-4 against the spread in their last 16 Monday games
  • DUKE: The Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall

Featured Game | Duke Blue Devils vs. Virginia Cavaliers

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Why Duke can cover 

The Blue Devils have five players averaging 9.9 points or better. Freshman forward Paolo Banchero leads the team at 17.5 points per game, and also averages 8.4 rebounds, 2.6 assists, 1.1 steals and 0.9 blocks. In Saturday’s win at North Carolina, Banchero finished with 13 points and 10 rebounds for his sixth double-double this season. He has reached double-figure scoring in all 22 games, including nine games with 20 or more points. His highest scoring output was a 28-point effort against The Citadel on Nov. 22.

Also powering the Blue Devils is junior forward Wendell Moore Jr. Moore averages 14.2 points, 5.6 rebounds, 4.5 assists and 1.5 steals per game. He is connecting on 53.2 percent of his field goals, including 40.3 percent from 3-point range. He is a 74.2 percent free throw shooter. Moore is coming off a 13-point, eight-rebound and five-assist effort at North Carolina. He is averaging 15.6 points per game in 16 home games.

Why Virginia can cover

The Cavaliers are led by senior forward Jayden Gardner, who has a six-game double-figure scoring streak. The East Carolina transfer has 35 career double-doubles, including five with Virginia. Gardner is averaging 14.3 points, 6.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game, connecting on 52.4 percent of his shots from the floor. Gardner is on the Karl Malone Award watch list and is coming off a 12-point, seven-rebound and four-assist effort in Saturday’s win over Miami, Fla.

Also powering Virginia is junior transfer guard Armaan Franklin, who is averaging 12.3 points, 2.8 rebounds, 1.7 assists and 1.2 steals per game. He is connecting on 41.7 percent of his field goals and 83 percent of his free throws. Franklin is averaging 12.8 points in ACC action and has scored 10 or more points in 11 ACC games. Against Miami, Fla., he scored a game-high 22 points and matched a career high with four steals.

How to make Virginia vs. Duke picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 137 combined points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get the model’s picks at SportsLine

So who wins Duke vs. Virginia? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $2,400 on its top-rated college basketball picks the last five years, and find out.

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