Monday, August 15, 2022

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill odds, predictions, lines: MMA expert reveals surprising fight card picks

Jamahal Hill says he doesn’t concern himself much with self-promotion because if he does his job, the recognition will come in due time. The rising light heavyweight contender headlines for the second time Saturday when he faces veteran Thiago Santos in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill. The showdown of ranked contenders will anchor the main UFC fight card (10 p.m. ET) from the Apex facility in Las Vegas. The No. 10-ranked Hill has just one defeat in six UFC appearances and has registered knockouts in each of his past three victories. He is looking for a signature victory against the No. 6-ranked Santos, who needs a win to protect his ranking following losses in three of his past four outings.

Hill is a -280 favorite (risk $280 to win $100), while Santos is priced at +240 in the latest UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill odds from Caesars Sportsbook. In the co-main event, welterweight contenders take the spotlight as Vicente Luque (-175) meets Geoff Neal (+155). Before locking in any UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill picks, make sure you check out the MMA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine expert Andrew Gombas.  

Gombas is a former NCAA wrestler who taps into his experience on the mat to help understand and dissect the X’s and O’s of MMA matchups in a manner that sets him apart from other MMA analysts. He started the MMA handicapping service MMA Knockout Bets in 2018 and has shown a profit every year since.

With more than 1,400 selections tracked by the third-party monitoring service Bet MMA, he has shown a 6 percent return on investment for his followers. Over the past two years, his followers have netted a profit of more than $10,000. 

At UFC 275 in June, Gombas swept the board with his main-card picks and the five-fight sweep included advising SportsLine members to back Jake Matthews (+125) against Andre Fialho (-145) in a matchup of welterweight prospects. Matthews dominated from the opening bell and scored a second-round stoppage to give Gombas’ backers another easy winner. Anyone who has followed Gombas already has seen massive returns. 

Now, with UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill looming, Gombas has studied the card from every angle and released his top MMA picks. Gombas’ UFC Fight Night picks are only available at SportsLine.  

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill preview 

Santos (23-10) has headlined in five of his past six appearances, including his last two, but his time as a marquee attraction will likely come to an end should he come up short again Saturday. 

The 38-year-old Brazilian has been involved in numerous memorable clashes and has a long list of notable victories, including a knockout over former champion Jan Blachowicz.  

He also pushed Jones to the wire in their title fight at UFC 239 before dropping a split decision. He suffered knee injuries in that contest that required multiple surgeries and a 16-month layoff from the sport. Santos hasn’t looked the same since his return, with a lackluster decision over Johnny Walker last October accounting for his lone win in four appearances. 

In many ways, Santos will be facing a younger version of himself in Hill (10-1-1), who has gone 4-1-1 in six UFC appearances. The 31-year-old Chicago native is similarly an explosive athlete who possesses lethal power and a variety of tools. 

Hill’s lone UFC defeat came to veteran Paul Craig in June of last year, but he responded with first-round knockouts of Jimmy Crute and Walker. Hill will likely enter the top-five rankings and the title-fight conversation with another impressive victory. You can only see who to pick at UFC Fight Night here.

UFC Fight Night predictions 

We’ll share one of Gombas’ UFC Fight Night selections here: He is backing Mayra Bueno Silva (+105) to get her hand raised against Stephanie Egger (-125) in a matchup of women’s bantamweight prospects on the preliminary card.

Egger (7-2) is a versatile talent and finisher who has three knockouts and three submissions among her seven professional MMA victories. The 33-year-old Swiss fighter lost her UFC debut but has since won two straight, including a first-round submission of Jessica-Rose Clark in February.

Bueno Silva (8-2-1) is a Brazilian grappling specialist who has gone 2-1-1 in her past four UFC outings. The 30-year-old received a performance bonus for her decision victory over Wu Yanan in April.

“Bueno Silva should dominate while these two are standing. Egger hasn’t shown the ability to wrestle from space or to chain shots together, which is what it would take for her to get top time against Bueno Silva. I expect Bueno Silva to get the win,” Gombas told SportsLine. See who else to pick here.

How to make UFC Fight Night picks 

Gombas also has strong picks for Santos vs. Hill and other fights on the UFC Fight Night card. He’s also backing a fighter who “has a more diverse striking style” to emerge with a huge victory. Those UFC Fight Night picks are only available at SportsLine.

Who wins Santos vs. Hill? And what other picks do you need to see? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed top picks on UFC Fight Night, all from the insider who’s up more than $10,000 on MMA picks the past two years, and find out. 

UFC Fight Night odds, fight card

See full UFC Fight Night picks, predictions, best bets at SportsLine.

Jamahal Hill (-280) vs. Thiago Santos (+240)

Vicente Luque (-175) vs. Geoff Neal (+155)

Terrance McKinney (-900) vs. Erik Gonzalez (+600)

Sergey Spivak (-230) vs. Augusto Sakai (+190)

Michal Oleksiejczuk (-600) vs. Sam Alvey (+450)

Bryan Battle (-230) vs. Takashi Sato (+195)

Ariane Lipski (-170) vs. Priscila Cachoeira (+150)

Stephanie Egger (-125) vs. Mayra Bueno Silva (+105)

Josh Quinlan (-220) vs. Jason Witt (+190)

Cory McKenna (-220) vs. Miranda Granger (+190)

Zac Pauga (-240) vs. Mohammed Usman (+200)

Julianna Miller (-120) vs. Brogan Walker (+100)

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