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Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo odds, prediction, time: Boxing expert on 43-13 run reveals Sept. 30 picks

The combat sports world revolves around a boxing mega fight Saturday as superstar Canelo Alvarez defends his unified super middleweight title against light middleweight king Jermell Charlo in Las Vegas. Their 12-round battle tops the Showtime PPV main Canelo vs. Charlo fight card (8 p.m. ET) from T-Mobile Arena. Alvarez has been a champion at four different weight classes but will be fighting at his comfort zone of super middleweight, where he holds all four major belts. Charlo holds the same distinction at light middleweight and can become a massive star in his own right if he pulls the upset Saturday.

Alvarez is a -455 favorite (risk $455 to win $100), while Charlo comes back at +345 in the latest Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo odds. The over/under for total rounds finished is 10.5, with the Over favored at -270 and the Under fetching a price of +200. Before locking in any Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo picks, make sure you see the boxing predictions and betting advice from SportsLine expert Peter Kahn

Kahn is a true boxing insider who has his finger on the pulse of what’s going on inside and outside of the ring. He has managed numerous world champions and currently manages 20 fighters through his company, Fight Game Advisors. Kahn recently won the 2022 Boxing Writers Association of America Cus D’Amato Manager of the Year award and was named to the 2023 Florida Boxing Hall of Fame. 

Kahn is uncanny when it comes to picking fights. He is an astounding 43-13 on his last 56 SportsLine boxing picks, returning nearly $4,000 to $100 bettors. Anyone who has followed him has already seen massive returns. 

Now, with Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo approaching, Kahn has studied the matchup from every angle and released confident selections for the fight. You can only see his picks and analysis at SportsLine

Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo preview 

The stakes and resumes of the fighters have been the main marketing force behind the bout because the boxers themselves seem to have little in the way of bad blood. At numerous media appearances this week, the boxers expressed mutual respect and seemingly went out of their way to avoid a war of words.

Even so, when pressed on why he would emerge victorious, Alvarez (59-2-2, 39 KOs) said the deciding factor is that he has simply faced better competition and has a superior skill set compared to Charlo.

“When you love what you do, that’s what it’s all about. He’s a great fighter. It’s not for nothing that he’s the undisputed champion at 154,” Alvarez said. “Now, I have the opportunity to show him why I’m at the top. He knows how to box. He’s strong, he counter-punches fast. He has a lot of ability, but I’ve been in the ring with all kinds of fighters, and I’m ready for this.”

Charlo (35-1-1, 19 KOs) is a decisive betting underdog in large part because he’s moving up two weight divisions to face a naturally larger opponent in Alvarez. Charlo also hasn’t fought in 16 months in large part because he has been hampered by a hand injury.

However, there are examples of boxers making a similar move in weight classes and succeeding. Alvarez himself did it in November 2019 when he moved up to light heavyweight to face former WBO champion Sergey Kovalev. The Russian boxer had success early using his reach and jab to win rounds, but Alvarez eventually wore him down and notched a stoppage in the 11th round.

Charlo told the media this week that there are advantages to such a move. He will have a less arduous weight cut than usual and said he has faced much bigger opponents in training camps.

“I’ve been sparring bigger guys for a long time and now it’s about bringing that same mindset that I have at 154 pounds and bringing it with me to 168 pounds,” Charlo said. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo picks

We can share that Kahn likes the fight to go Over 10.5 rounds. He’s also made the call on a method-of-victory prop and a confident money-line pick. You can only see his picks at SportsLine

Who wins Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo, and which prop is a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see Peter Kahn’s best bets for Saturday, all from the boxing specialist who has netted his followers a profit of nearly $4,000, and find out.

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