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Houston vs. Tulsa odds, line, spread: 2021 college football picks, Week 5 predictions from model on 81-61 run

Houston has a 3-1 record and sits atop the American Athletic Conference standings after rattling off three straight wins. However, the Cougars could be tested ahead of this weekend in a conference matchup against 1-3 Tulsa. The Golden Hurricane started to turn things around by beating Arkansas State 41-34 last week and could take Houston to the wire at H.A. Chapman Stadium.

Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET, and Tulsa is listed as a 4.5-point in the latest Houston vs. Tulsa odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over-under for total points is set at 54. Before making any Tulsa vs. Houston picks, make sure you see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. After going a sizzling 9-3 in Week 4, it also enters Week 5 of the 2021 season on a 81-61 run on all top-rated college football picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Houston vs. Tulsa. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for Tulsa vs. Houston:

  • Houston vs. Tulsa spread: Tulsa -4.5
  • Houston vs. Tulsa over-under: 54 points
  • Houston vs. Tulsa money line: Tulsa -200, Houston +170
  • HOU: The Cougars are 5-1 straight up in their last six games against the Golden Hurricane
  • TUL: The total has gone over in five of Tulsa’s last six games

Featured Game | Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Houston Cougars

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Why Houston can cover

The Cougars began 2021 on the wrong foot by falling short against Texas Tech in a blowout, but haven’t tasted defeat since. Houston has won its last three games by an average of 30 points. The Cougars have won seven of their previous 10 matchups against the Golden Hurricane, and the spread hasn’t been nearly this close in recent years.

Neither team in this matchup has been favored by less than a touchdown since 2012. Houston has won two of its last three road games at Tulsa by double-digits. The Cougars’ questionable offensive line hasn’t stopped them from putting up a ton of points in recent weeks. Tulsa didn’t open up its offense until last weekend, though, and is averaging nearly 10 fewer points per game than the visitors.

Why Tulsa can cover

Houston has had a ton of success against Tulsa in recent years, but several alarming trends are also worth noting. The Cougars are 0-4 against the spread in their last four games as underdogs. They’re also 1-4 in their last five games overall and last five conference games. The Golden Hurricane are 4-0 against the spread in their previous four games following a win and have the tools to build upon that streak.

Tulsa can control the pace of this game with a top-notch ground attack. Shamari Brooks and Deneric Prince have rushed for more than 250 yards and are averaging 5.6 yards per carry. Davis Brin has improved under center and saw three of his receivers go over 90 receiving yards last week. Josh Johnson has gone over 125 receiving yards in two straight games and can help the Golden Hurricane field a well-rounded offense that’s capable of holding off the visitors.

How to make Houston vs. Tulsa picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 51 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Tulsa vs. Houston? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.  

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